. this week's short squeeze is nonetheless likely to push . Yet the day before, the market had started to unravel, with prices rising by astunning66% to $48,078. If it can weather the current storm, Tsingshan which recorded more than $US40 billion in annual revenue over the past two years should be a prime beneficiary of higher nickel prices as the worlds top producer. The annals of commodity markets are full of tales of producers and traders, from Metallgesellschaft to Sumitomo, that blurred the lines between hedging and speculation and ended with billions of dollars in losses. Tsingshan needs to increase the contract margins or roll over the futures if it decides to keep the contracts, which would require a huge amount of cash, an analyst told Yicai Global. The price was frozen, below the record high but still at $US80,000 a tonne. The head of one London metals brokerage recalls feeling sick as he watched the moves, realising what the spike in prices would mean for his company, the market, and the global metals industry. It also highlights the risks of an opaque market where a handful of players play outsized roles, deciding how and where purchasers like global battery makers secure raw materials. But today things have reversed, that is, Tsingshan Group has prepared 200,000 . Its not just a casino.. The discussions are ongoing, and its not clear what stance Tsingshans banks, which include JPMorgan Chase & Co. and China Construction Bank Corp., will take. People forgot that this isnt a video game retailer; its an important physical commodity.. Glencore Nikkelverk AS has a modern and complex processing system. The company paid at least some of its margin calls early on March 7, says one person familiar with the matter. However, reports that Beijing is mulling a rescue deal for Tsingshan Holding Group , the company behind nickel's big short . It is owned and operated by Glencore Canada Corporation.The mine site is located in sub-arctic permafrost of the Cape Smith Belt, with an average . Glencore-backed Leeuwin ready to set sail. Now, people familiar with the matter say, the exchange is likely to introduce such measures as position limits and greater transparency. Glencore UK Ltd, Izimbiwa Coal (Pty) Ltd, Katanga Mining Limited, Kazzinc Ltd., Koniambo Nickel S.A.S., Magdeburg, Mangoola Coal Operations Pty Limited, McArthur River Mining Pty Ltd, Minera . In theory, there should be two options for this 200,000 tons of nickel short order: 1. A Chinese tycoon who built a massive short position in nickel futures is facing billions of dollars in mark-to-market losses after this week's unprecedented price spike, according to people . By now, the entire nickel industry was in crisis. . Rio Tinto, the world's second-largest mining company by market capitalization, last week said it would lift annual capital investment to as much as $10 billion in 2024 and 2025, up around 25% on . What does Tsingshan Group's rival, Glencore, do? Tsingshan Holding Group was looking at an $8 billion trading loss after nickel prices soared, The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday . Tsingshan is in touch with relevant parties and has the support of Chinese government departments and leaders, he added. . Elon Musk wanted to buy 10-20% of Glencore, but refused to. Our positions and operations dont have any problems, Xiang Guangda, who is also the Wenshou-based companys founder, told Yicai Global yesterday. Glencore Nickel. Nikkelverk is committed to the principles of sustainable development, taking into account social, environmental and economic factors. At 8.15am, the screens stopped flashing, hours before the in-person pit trading session was even set to begin. By early this year, it had taken ownership of more than half of the available nickel in LME warehouses. One thing is sure: If Xiang can weather the storm, Tsingshans nickel producing assets stand to benefit from the higher prices, offsetting losses from the short. The paper loss stood at $8 billion on Monday, before violent moves in nickel prices led the London Metal Exchange to suspend trading in the metal on Tuesday, one of the people said. Born in 1958, he started out making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, in eastern China. Tsingshans short position could have incurred mark-to-market losses of at least $2 billion on Monday alone, people familiar with the matter said. Others in the market may also push up prices in anticipation of that short covering. Explore the extraordinary journey of nickel, of nickel sold via our marketing business. Once its industrial complex reaches peak p. The company paid at least some of its margin calls early on Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter. The metal is found in all our homes as a key ingredient of stainless steel. When Norilsk Nickel left the Western markets, Glencore became its main substitute for nonferrous metals. 2017 - 2018 Yicai Global, Yicai Media Group. 2023 Glacier Media Group, All Rights Reserved. In August 2021, Glencore increased its medium-term emission reduction target to a 50% reduction by 2035 on 2019 levels and introduced a new short-term target of a 15% reduction by 2026 on 2019 levels. Crucially, the decision meant traders wouldnt need to pay margin calls on the basis of the $80,000 nickel price. The difference is that nickel is a commodity that touches the entire global economy. Tsingshans were even larger, numbering roughly $3 billion, according to a Bloomberg calculation based on the companys total short positionwhich, even after Xiang had closed out a portion of the bet in previous weeks, was over 150,000 tons. Tsingshan didnt respond to multiple requests for comment, and Xiang couldnt be independently reached. Massive short positions held by Xiangs Tsingshan Holding Group, the worlds largest nickel producer, have gone disastrously awry over the past few days. It can produce 1.8 million tons of nickel alloy and its mine in Indonesia has an annual capacity of over 3.5 million tons. That put Tsingshans banks and brokers, which include JPMorgan Chase, BNP Paribas, and Standard Chartered, in a bind. In theory, any price changes on the futures market should offset price changes in the value of the inventoriesas long as the traders canmeet their margin calls. Most market participants expect nickel prices to come back down once the crisis around Xiangs position has been resolved. Those past scandals forced reforms on the exchange. Some hedge funds were buying nickel contracts in a bet on the electric vehicle boom. Its still unclear how much of a risk the nickel rally and a cash drain from topping up margin payments pose to the company. ESC Mali school of busness. Then, as now, a key factor was the intervention of the exchange. By early this year, it had taken ownership of more than half of the available nickel in LME warehouses. While few observers believed Xiang could reach that level of production, he was confident. Nickel prices doubled on Tuesday and briefly rose above a record $100,000 a tonne as banks and brokers rushed to close part of a huge position amassed by Xiang Guangda, the billionaire founder of . Effectively, it rewound the market to the moment when prices closed on Monday at $US48,078. The Business Briefing newsletter delivers major stories, exclusive coverage and expert opinion. And that was just for the portion of the short position it held directly on the exchange about 30,000 tonnes. Some aggrieved traders are already preparing to take legal action against the exchange. Its still unclear how much of a risk the nickel rally and a cash drain from topping up margin payments pose to the company. If it can weather the current storm, Tsingshan which recorded more than $40 billion in annual revenue over the past two years should be a prime beneficiary of higher nickel prices as the worlds top producer. Some started hurrying to buy back nickel contracts, sending the price of nickel spiralling ever higher. Then came a geopolitical crisis that caught him unawares. 485,996 followers. Even at that level, clients of LME brokers had failed to pay some $US500 million of margin calls in relation to their short positions on the exchange, says a person familiar with the matter. Xiang himself had little interest in international news, the people said, and the growing speculation over a possible war was hard to track in China. Executives at Tower Research Capital, one of Wall Streets oldest electronic market-makers, reined in its trading activity on the LME and put its membership in the exchange under review. Nicknamed Big Shot in Chinese commodity circles, people who know him say he has absolute confidence in his convictions and doesnt hesitate to bet big on his visions for the future. Long Term . Nickel prices usually move a few hundred dollars per tonne in a day. . Nickel prices had been rising for weeks, amid fears that supplies from Russia the largest exporter of refined nickel would be disrupted if the countryinvaded Ukraine. https://bbgvod-azure-us-east1-zenko.global.ssl.fastly.net/vod/vod/m/ODg0NDM2Mg/Q2xvdWRfNTgyODY2/3fb888db-fa8e-42e4-b488-726dae69584b_150.mp4, Nickel price spike purely financial but Tsingshan effect could linger, EV Nickels stock soars after announcing enormous maiden mineral resource in Ontario, Iron ore price jumps on China data, bullish steel demand outlook, Copper price rises as Chinas economy shows strong recovery, Gold price hits 1-week high on robust China economic data, Musk tamps down speculation that Tesla will mine lithium, Monumental shift in way junior mining stocks are valued is coming, Advance Lithium in joint venture talks with Mexicos national lithium company, Goldman warns carmakers against buying miners: It always end in tears. Nickels 250 per cent price spike in little more than 24 hours plunged the industry into chaos, triggering billions of dollars in losses for traders who bet the wrong way and leading the London Metal Exchange (LME) to suspend trading for the first time in three decades. Glencore is one of the largest miners in the world that supply copper and nickel, two of my essential CCLANGs for the future of electrification. Perhaps what's most surprising is that this nickel squeeze happened within a market that had, for the last few years, been comparatively sedate, with rangebound trading rarely breaking above the $20,000/metric tonne (mt) mark on the upside before 2022. Glencore Mine Raglan Feb 2014 - Mar 2018 4 years 2 months. 92 132 MT. Strong passwords include numbers,letters,and special characters. Global key Nickel Plate players cover Vale Limited, Jinchuan Group, Glencore, Norilsk Nickel and Jinlin Jien Nickel, etc. This matters beyond the cozy world of . Finance > Capital-markets. Its not just a casino. MMC Norilsk Nickel Recent Development 11.3 Glencore 11.3.1 Glencore Company Detail 11.3.2 Glencore Business Overview 11.3.3 Glencore Nickel Mining . Nickel prices surged to an all-time high on Tuesday, up roughly 250% in just two days, and forcing the London Metal Exchange to close trading. Nicknamed Big Shot in Chinese commodity circles, people who know him say he has absolute confidence in his convictions and doesnt hesitate to bet big on his visions for the future. Anyone using the LME needs to understand that. In discussions over loans this week, Xiang told bankers hes confident his company can meet its obligations, according to people familiar. A Chinese tycoon who built a massive short position in nickel futures is facing billions of dollars in mark-to-market losses after this weeks unprecedented price spike, according to people familiar with the matter. The latest price was A$0.04 (25-minute delay). I'll discuss why. Including positions on the London Metal Exchange and bilateral bets with banks, Xiang still has short holdings in the region of 150,000 tons, the people said. Among them were some of the biggest names on Wall Street. Xiang Guangda, the billionaire owner of Tsingshan Holding Group. Poseidon Nickel stock opened the day at A$0.04 after a previous close of A$0.04. Poseidon Nickel is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and has a trailing 12-month revenue of around AUDC$256,000. The company went on to pioneer the large-scale production of nickel pig iron, a semi-refined and low-cost alternative to the pure metal for stainless steel. Trading and mining giant Glencore was the dominant holder of nickel in recent months, according to people familiar with the matter. Yet the day before, the market had started to unravel . It marked the first major market failure sinceRussias invasion of Ukrainejolted global markets, showing how the removal of one of the worlds largest exporters of resources from the financial system in the space of weeks is having ripple effects across the world. Xstrata Nickel 4 years 1 month Directeur Operations Minieres et Services techniques . I see all automakers within a short time creating their own 4680 . The LME convened its special committee, a small group of metals and legal experts with the power to issue emergency rules for the market. Exchanges sometimes cancel trades when technology glitches or fat fingers cause one-off mistakes. Your email address will not be published. Discovery of the deposits is credited to Murray Edmund Watts in 1931 or 1932. Related Article: Nickel price spike purely financial but Tsingshan effect could linger. Glencore's original trading business is still a powerhouse and is . But while the short squeeze has weighed on Tsingshan's . But its obligations dwarfed its available cash and bank credit. Neither party seems very keen on this idea, however. By now, Tsingshan wasnt the only nickel company that was struggling, just the biggest. LMEs Chamberlain defended cancelling the trades. Tsingshan has recently threatened in Chinese domestic media to deliver physical metal to the LME, a strong-arm tactic that analysts say would push prices back down. Its participants are a mix of the industrial metals companies, which tap the market to offset their price risks, and hedge funds, which use it to speculate. Some traders and bankers have questioned whether a producer like Tsingshan, which has relatively low production costs and is active in all parts of the supply chain, really needs such a large hedging position. The LME is now very likely going to die a slow, self-inflicted death through the loss of confidence in it and its products, predicted Thompson in a tweet. The prices that were being seen during that Asian session were becoming disconnected from, I believe, physical reality.. Born in 1958, he started out making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, in eastern China. Summary. Sudbury Integrated Nickel Operations are located in the Sudbury basin, northern Ontario, Canada. Their GLEN share price forecasts range from GBX 540 to GBX 740. The LME suspended nickel-market trading on Tuesday and the Shanghai Futures Exchange followed suit a day later, after prices on Chinas top commodities bourse hit their daily upward limit. Our marketing business markets nickel and nickel concentrates, as well as by-products and ferronickel. Cliff Asness, founder ofAQR Capital Management,accused the LME, which was for more than a century owned by its members but in 2012 was sold to Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, of stealing money from market participants trading in good faith and giving it to Chinese nickel producers and their banks. LMEs Chamberlain defended canceling the trades. He went on to pioneer new methods for producing nickel and stainless steel that upended the markets and made his Tsingshan the worlds largest producer of both. Born in 1958, Xiang founded his business more than 30 years ago as a workshop making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China. WATCH: The Chinese tycoon, known as Big Shot in commodities circles is said to be facing billions of losses. We're taking you for a deep dive into the world of copper - a versatile metal and important component for a low-carbon future. The company had a further 120,000 tons or more in short positions off the exchange, in bilateral deals with such banks as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Standard Chartered Plc. Your email address will not be published. Back Submit. Glencore will give almost 6bn to shareholders after the mining and commodities company reported record pre-tax profits of more than 28bn in 2022 . (This account of events in the nickel market is based on dozens of interviews with people involved, many of whom requested anonymity because the matters are private.). The penalty is part of the $1.5 billion Glencore agreed to pay to resolve bribery and market-manipulation probes in the US, UK and Brazil. Miners, traders, and manufacturers often use the market to make short bets that is, to make money when prices fall. Crucially, the decision meant traders wouldnt need to pay margin calls based on the $US80,000 nickel price. Glencore Nickel. Resetting your password will log you out of all your active Yicai Global sessions. Having capacity but no inventory puts Tsingshan at a disadvantage, he said. Glencore is the world's biggest producer of cobalt, and is among the top three public copper companies and nickel companies. You have achieved great things in these short 4 years (whilst remaining humble and kind . And that was just for the portion of the short position it held directly on the exchangeabout 30,000 tons. Its unclear whether he will get his way. Glencore currently operate two mines in the Sudbury Basin, Nickel Rim South (ca. But the obvious consequence of so much nickel hitting the market, he believed, would be a fall in its price. Beijing is supportive of him, Xiang told contacts recently. Xiangs short position has now racked upbillions of dollars in losses. Tsingshan is an excellent Chinese enterprise.. The LME at the end of the day is a physical metal market, he says. Explore the latest reports and results, including financial results, production reports and our annual report. The production of Glencore Nikkelverk in 2019. Xiang Guangda caught out by metals spectacular rally, London Metal Exchange suspended nickel trading on Tuesday. Now the Chinese tycoon known as Big Shot must decide whether to unwind a wager that risks fueling more dramatic swings in one of the worlds most prized metals. Still, contracts on the LME are backed by physical metal in a network of warehouses around the world, providing a direct link with the real-world metals industry. It also highlights the risks of an opaque market where a handful of players play outsized roles, deciding how and where purchasers like global battery makers secure raw materials. Cobalt. The LMEs special committee held another call at about 6 a.m. Now they recognized that they had tosuspend trading. Some market rumors are circulating that Glencore might squeeze Tsingshan on LME Nickel for its 60% stake in a nickel mine in Indonesia. Others took to social media. Xiang Guangdas wrong-way bet on nickel futures helped trigger one of the wildest commodity price spikes in history. The so-called "hold short position" focuses on the word "hold" to hold the price higher, and the ultimate goal is to force Tsingshan Group's 200,000 tons of nickel to sell short positions, and there is no way to go. Its participants are a mix of the industrial metals companies, which tap the market to offset their price risks, and hedge funds, which use it to speculate. Provided short/mid/long/strategic schedules using Deswik. On this day, however, metal traders were glued to a screen, watching the price action on the electronic market, which was already open to accommodate Asian trading. At that time of day, bleary-eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee on their way to the office. Short Term. He draws a comparison with Silver Thursday, the day in 1980 when an attempt bythe Hunt brothersto corner the silver market came unstuck. The seeds of the epic short squeeze were sown last year, when nickel, like all commodities, was rallying from its COVID-19-era low. At that time of day, bleary-eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee on their way to the office. Nickel prices usually move a few hundred dollars per ton in a day. Since 1910, nickel and other metals have been refined, produced and exported from the production plant in Kristiansand. In theory, any price changes on the futures market should offset price changes in the value of the inventories as long as the traders can meet their margin calls. And when those wagers move violently in the opposite direction, they can be hit with huge margin calls, or requests to put down more cash to back their trades. % to $ 48,078 traders, and Xiang couldnt be independently reached Tsingshan on LME nickel for its %... Of more than half of the short squeeze is nonetheless likely to push business markets and! 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The exchange about 30,000 tonnes measures as position limits and greater transparency glancing at prices as they swig on. By early this year, it had taken ownership of more than half of the commodity! A previous close of a $ 0.04 available cash and bank credit fat fingers cause one-off.... Market had started to unravel to buy 10-20 % of Glencore, do its... Spike purely financial but Tsingshan effect could linger became its main substitute for nonferrous.! Traders wouldnt need to pay margin calls early on March 7, says one familiar! While the short position could have incurred mark-to-market losses of at least some of its margin calls early March! Below the record high but still at $ US48,078 refined, produced and from. The latest reports and our annual report, Canada 1910, nickel Rim South ( ca half of the commodity. Prices usually move a few hundred dollars per ton in a nickel mine in Indonesia revenue of around $. 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