Very few members of Gen Z (born 1997 and later) were eligible to vote in the 2016 electorate, and they made up just 1% of all voters that year. While he still won this group by a little more than two-to one (66% to Bidens 31%), that 35 percentage point gap is notably smaller than the 50-point gap in the 2016 election, when 73% of White men without a college degree supported Trump, compared with 23% who supported Clinton. These differences are roughly consistent with the share of White voters in each partys coalition in 2016. Among the other most common types of sources were groups focused on policy issues (such as the ACLU and Susan B. Anthony List) and/or experts (such as academics), which were cited in 32% of stories, Democratic members of Congress (27%), Republican members (23%) and other journalists or media organizations (20%). Then, 74% of all stories were oriented around his character and leadership, compared with only about one-quarter (26%) framed around his ideology and policy agenda. Today, 52% of registered voters say that if the election were held today, they would cast their vote for Biden; a smaller share of registered voters say they would cast their ballot for Trump . One area where there is little difference across the three media groups is whether the journalist framed the story around Bidens leadership and character or his ideology and agenda. News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. But support for Biden among the unaffiliated was not quite as lopsided as Trumps support among White evangelicals (a 45-point margin for Biden among the unaffiliated vs. a 69-point margin for Trump among White evangelicals). But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. Most Americans have been following news about the Biden administration closely, 5. This survey was conducted March 8-14, 2021, before the fatal shooting of six Asian women and two other people in the Atlanta area on March 16 and before the trial of Derek Chauvin began on March 29. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. People were then organized into five media diet groups based on the audience of the outlets they frequent. Biden took 98% of the vote among liberal Democrats and leaners and 91% among those who are moderate or conservative. The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. In 2020, 31% of Trump voters had at least a four-year college degree similar to the share of Trump voters who had a college degree in 2016. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. This right-oriented group was also about twice as likely as the left-oriented group to have heard a lot about immigration reform efforts (45% vs. 21%). Trumps tweets sometimes hurt his cause and image. A new analysis of validated 2020 voters from Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel examines change and continuity in the electorate, both of which contributed to Bidens victory. Biden received the support of 92% of Black voters, nearly the same as Clinton received in 2016 and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House received in 2018. Among other types of sources, though, there were some shifts in the rate at which they made their way into stories. New polls suggest Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are neck-and-neck as Republicans and Democrats look ahead to 2024. Biden, by contrast, drew strong support from religiously unaffiliated voters atheists, agnostics, and those who say their religion is nothing in particular. Together, these voters made up 25% of voters, which is a slightly larger share of the total electorate than White evangelicals (19%). The Trump administration invoked Title 42 ostensibly as a public health measure during the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic and used it to quickly expel hundreds of thousands of people including nearly 16,000 unaccompanied children. Voters would much rather Trump let his work speak for him Now on to Trumps strengths, according to the voters: Voters think Trump did a great job with the economy with record low unemployment before the pandemic, and now were making a comeback The high-stakes showdown between Dominion Voting Systems and Fox News finally commences in earnest Tuesday when the $1.6 billion defamation trial begins, shining a spotlight on Fox's election . Again, however, Americans who get their news from sources with right-leaning audiences are more likely than others to say that the overall coverage theyve seen of the Biden administration has been unfair and inaccurate. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand the news media coverage of the early days of the Biden administration and Americans perceptions of that coverage. Roughly half of U.S. adults (52%) said they had heard a lot about Bidens use of executive orders to reverse many Trump administration policies. The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. While the structure of the analysis and specific outlets studied have evolved with the media landscape (an abbreviated long-term trend can be found here), the 2017 study of news coverage of the early days of the Trump presidency and this 2021 study of Biden are very similar in methodology, allowing for a direct comparison of most measures. Voters like Trumps strong stance against China in the trade war Catholics made up similar shares of Biden and Trump voters (19% and 22%, respectively); in 2016, Catholics made up a slightly higher share of Trump voters compared with Clinton voters (23% vs. 18%). Racial inequality is the topic that the highest percentage of Americans say is getting too much attention (36%), though the sense overall is divided, with 28% saying the issue is getting too little attention and 35% saying the level of coverage given to racial inequality is about right.3. Adults with a high school education or less were 29% of all voters but half of nonvoters. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. Before I start, I will mention that Joe Biden has his own Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats. And among the outlets with right-leaning audiences, immigration was the most covered topic area. President Trump repeated his claim that Joe Biden wants to ban fracking - the controversial process of drilling below ground and using high-pressure water to force out gas. From January to August 2021 Biden's approval rating averaged 10-13 points higher than President Trump's during the same time period in his presidency. At the same time, the publics sense of news coverage of the Biden administration is more positive than the study of the news coverage reveals: 46% of U.S. adults say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration offered mostly positive assessments, far more than the 14% who say theyve seen mostly negative ones. Trumps honesty appears challenged These patterns also are apparent when the lens is shifted to birth cohorts, or generations groups of voters who share birth years and perhaps formative political experiences in common, such as the popularity of the president at the time they were first eligible to vote. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN DONALD J. TRUMP JOSEPH R. BIDEN Money - His net worth is estimated to be about$4,500,000,000. That puts Harris' rating under . In 2016, White, non-college women supported Trump by a margin of 56% to 33%. Trump mention: Each story was analyzed for whether former President Donald Trump was mentioned. By 2020, Trumps vote share rose to 64% among this group compared with 35% supporting Biden. If his decisions cause harm, he will be blamed for their effects Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. I have been generally optimistic about President Trumps campaign up to now, but I think its important to step back and work to be objective. Let's look at the overall sentiment. Bidens immigration promises fall short as some of Trumps policies remain in place heres whats similar and whats different. White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. Indeed, the virus outbreak was mentioned as a major or minor component in 72% of all stories about the Biden administration, including nearly every health care story and 96% of all economy stories, as well as other topic areas. Today's Action Market Data Stocks Quick Takes Personal Finance Your Money Newsletter . Protestants constituted nearly half of all voters (46%), as they did in 2016. William A.. For this analysis, we surveyed U.S. adults online and verified their turnout in the three general elections using commercial voter files that aggregate official state turnout records. During his tenure, Mr. Trump has: Passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which in part lowered the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. While Biden took a 59% majority of the Hispanic vote, Trump (with 38%) gained significantly over the level of support Republican candidates for the House received in 2018 (25%). Americans in the mixed media group are also most likely to say the pandemic is getting the most attention from their main news sources (53%), with the economy next at 21%. See Methodology for details. Comparably smaller shares of Black (20%) and Hispanic voters (18%) said the same. And now, new policies are being admonished by advocates and even some serving Democrats for seemingly plagiarizing Trumps very own playbook, without meaningful input from Congress or organizations on the ground. For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. A majority of stories for all three outlets groups had at least some reference to the coronavirus. Transparency and disclosure will take a hit, with . One new element of this years study in Part 2of this report is a survey component that measures Americans exposure to and sense of news coverage during this early time period, how that differs by media diet, and how it compares with the analysis of media content in Part 1. But when the number of people crossing into the US from Mexico without authorization swiftly increased, his more tempered tactics became a political liability, giving Republicans fuel to spin false yet convincing to some narratives about an open and mismanaged border. The Center has analyzed news coverage of the beginning of each of the five presidential administrations since President Bill Clinton in 1993. While Trump announced Nov. 15 that he would mount a third bid for the White House in 2024, Biden has . Voters believe Biden will bring respect back to the presidency and to our country. However, as with voters overall, there was a substantial age divide within this group. One noteworthy feature of the 2020 election was the wide education gap among Hispanic voters. And rural voters remain a significantly larger portion of the Republican electorate. See Appendix A for more about how these groups were created and for the breakdown of all of the outlets in this study and their audience classification. Each news outlet in this study was placed in one of three groups based on the political profile of its audience (i.e., those respondents in the survey who reported getting political news from each outlet in the past week). Among the 5% of Republicans who voted third-party in 2016 and voted in 2020, a majority (70%) supported Trump in 2020, but 18% backed Biden. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. In response to President Trump, Biden say's "these kids came with parents.. separated them at the border to make it a disincentive to come to begin . This growth of the market can be attributed to . That framing is dramatically different from the coverage of the first few months of the Trump administration four years earlier. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. With Trump, the numbers were roughly reversed, with 74% framed around leadership and character and 26% around policy and ideology. At intellectual war with the Demonic Left, DJ posts whatever is on his mind, and sometimes has been known to be worth the read. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender, By Ruth Igielnik, Scott Keeter and Hannah Hartig. Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish Outlets with right-leaning audiences presented a primarily negative view of the new Biden administration. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 28.44% compared to Biden at 7.71% a difference of 20.72%. Researchers attempted to match the panelists to three differentcommercial voter filesthat contain official records of voter registration and turnout for 2016, 2018 and 2020. White evangelical Protestants, in particular, remained a critical part of the Republican voting coalition, making up 34% of Trumps voters but just 6% of Bidens. White women, a group sometimes categorized as swing voters and who broke nearly evenly in 2016 (47% for Trump to 45% for Clinton), favored him in 2020 (53% to 46%). In 2016, about half of Clintons voters described their communities as suburban (48%), while 32% said they were from an urban area and 19% were from a rural area. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters minds The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Do not just show up at the border, Biden warned potential migrants. If this threshold was not met, stories were coded as neither positive nor negative. Biden made a mistake by putting the selection of a female running-mate ahead of choosing the best person for the job it looks like a pandering move A women in Texas protests against Title 42 during a march in solidarity with migrants coming to the border. With that, I note the relevant comments from the focus groups: Trump hasnt handled the pandemic response well its time for someone new Roughly half (49%) knew that the administration has both reentered the Paris agreement and rescinded construction permits for the Keystone XL pipeline, 43% correctly said that the administration has stopped federal funding for the border wall but not ordered that the wall be dismantled, and 33% knew at the time of the survey that the Biden administration was meeting its goal of vaccinating 1 million Americans per day. This includes all mentions of him, but not of other individuals such as his family members and former administration members or of references to his administration broadly. At the same time, Trumps vote share among White women without a college degree grew slightly between the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. As a result, a record number of voters said they cast their ballots this way (46%). Amid such an ideological quagmire, a reactive, confusing and often contradictory immigration agenda has emerged from this administration. The surveys were supplemented with measures taken from annual recruitment and profile surveys conducted in 2018 and 2020. First, that is a long list, meaning that despite what the media says, Trump has a large number of ways he can reach re-election. Many people subjected to this policy often referred to by its shorthand, Title 42 have been stranded in or expelled to dangerous conditions in Mexico, or else swiftly returned to the unstable and sometimes life-threatening realities at home that many of them risked life and limb to escape. On the NASDAQ, Trump is at 44.12% compared to Biden at -9.61% a difference of 53.72%. While the media landscape has changed dramatically since Clintons presidential inauguration, the Center has been able to conduct a long-term comparison for each of the recent administrations across a smaller subset of outlets and variables.2. When it comes to the tone of coverage, both new administrations received more negative assessments than positive assessments of their activities. Biden officials have also said they will be proposing a new rule to further limit asylum eligibility, a move that has incited anger among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. Voters do not blame Trump for the virus, but expect his decisions to be for the best interests of the nation. Those who voted in 2018 but not in 2016 backed Biden over Trump in the 2020 election by about two-to-one (62% to 36%). News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, 2. Yet parallels exist. After such public vitriol and humanitarian scandals, Joe Biden billed himself as the anti-Trump candidate who would restore honor and decency to the presidency, partly by building a fair and humane immigration system. The coronavirus was very prevalent throughout coverage in the outlets with left-leaning and mixed audiences, with the economy as the top specific topic area. In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. All rights reserved. Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. Donald Trump Victim Goes on MSNBC and CNN .. to Defend Trump! Voters in the youngest adult generations today Generation Z (those ages 18 to 23 in 2020) and the Millennial generation (ages 24 to 39 in 2020) favored Biden over Trump by a margin of 20 percentage points, though Trump gained 8 points among Millennials compared with his 2016 performance. Numbers, Facts and Trends Shaping Your World, highest-turnout midterm election in decades, emerged in the 2004 presidential election, Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement, Demographic profiles of Trump and Biden voters, Voting methods in the 2020 presidential election, A voter data resource: Detailed demographic tables about verified voters in 2016, 2018, What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion, Interactive map: The changing racial and ethnic makeup of the U.S. electorate, In Changing U.S. Electorate, Race and Education Remain Stark Dividing Lines, In a Growing Share of U.S. Marriages, Husbands and Wives Earn About the Same, Gun deaths among U.S. children and teens rose 50% in two years, Key facts as India surpasses China as the worlds most populous country, Americans Are Critical of Chinas Global Role as Well as Its Relationship With Russia. Getty Meanwhile in one Premise poll, Trump led the president 45 to 44. On April 13, 2021, after the survey, the CDC recommended. This aligns with the content analysis, which found that the economy and health care were the two leading topics for the period studied (see Chapter 1). Editors: Warner Todd Huston, Rick, David Robertson, Doug Johnson, DJ Drummond, Michael Laprarie, Baron Von Ottomatic, Shawn Mallow, Dan Karipides, Michael Avitablile, Charlie Quidnunc, Steve Schippert, Comment Section Editors: Maggie Whitton, Rodney Graves, Emeritus: Jay Tea, Lorie Byrd, Kim Priestap, Paul, Mary Katherine Ham, Jim Addison, Alexander K. McClure, Cassy Fiano, Bill Jempty, John Stansbury, Rob Port. One somewhat unusual aspect of the 2016 election was the relatively high share of voters (nearly 6%) who voted for one of the third-party candidates (mostly the Libertarian and Green Party nominees), a fact many observers attributed to the relative unpopularity of both major party candidates. The 2020 election brought a huge change in howAmericans cast their ballots. The current study is comprised of two components, an analysis of media content and a survey analysis. Trump handled the death of George Floyd poorly in most voters' minds Biden is the "lesser of two evils" Trump's honesty appears challenged Trump "runs his mouth" too much (but he gets the job done) Trump looked immature by refusing to wear a mask for so long Trump's cabinet appears dishonest. Without such broad support for Trump among White evangelicals, Biden would have beaten him by more than 20 points. among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. For those with media diets only on the left, nearly two-thirds (64%) say the coronavirus is the most covered of the five topics. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other categories. Voters are very worried about the economy being hurt by too much attention to the virus It also provides a comparison with findings from our previous studies of the 2016 and 2018 electorates. All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. 3. A majority of nonvoters in 2016 (55%) were Democrats or Democratic leaners, compared with about four-in-ten (41%) who were Republicans or leaned toward the Republican Party. Americans were less likely to answer the other three questions correctly. Despite strong approval ratings for his first six months in office, since August 2021 President Biden's disapproval rating has been higher than his approval rating. Prior to 2016, differences in candidate preferences by education were typically much smaller than they were that year. Some of the largest differences between voters and nonvoters are seen on education and income. A yawning age gap in voter support a pattern that emerged in the 2004 presidential election for the first time since 1972 continues to be evident, with voters under 30 favoring Joe Biden by 24 percentage points (Biden 59%, Trump 35%). To do this, the survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, on Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel, asked respondents to indicate whether they got political news in the past week from each of 25 national news outlets (the same outlets as in the content study see Appendix A for details). But generational change in the electorate was quite apparent. Voters ages 65 and older stand out in their voting behavior: 55% say they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election 13 percentage points higher than the share of adults under 65 who cast a ballot by mail. Voters in 2020 sorted along religious lines in ways consistent with recent elections. There may also have been sources used outside the types listed above that were not captured in this study. Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters. Outlets with left-leaning or mixed audiences, on the other hand, gave greatest attention to the economy and to health care, each of which was the focus of 18% or more of stories for both media groups, while immigration amounted to 8% and 10% for each. Thestock market has hitrecord high after record high, helping moreAmericans build wealthand secure their futures." All of the Michigan trump supporters said they were pro Trump not Anti Biden indicating enthusiasm, while none of the Biden supporters were pro Biden, they were only anti Trump. Impeaching the President was a mistake by Democrats it looked like a cheap political move which took away attention from important issues, especially in light of the coronavirus coming in from China. 1. White non-Hispanic adults were 72% of voters in 2020 but just 55% of nonvoting citizens. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. Stories with a negative assessment are defined as those with at least twice as many negative as positive statements related to the Biden administration, while those with a positive tone had at least twice as many positive as negative statements. That is significantly higher than the share of Trump voters who were Black (2%). Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). Those policy changes have been accompanied by the creation of limited legal pathways, but their eligibility requirements demand a level of financial resources and international connections that the western hemispheres most vulnerable, forcibly displaced people likely cannot produce. For more details, see the methodology. So are Bidens border policies turning into a copy of Trumps? Among voters under age 30, Joe Biden enjoyed a margin of 24 points over Donald Trump, and political scientists have found the voting patterns formed in this cohort tend to persist. Voters think Biden may stabilize the country For example, while the topic of the economy was covered most heavily by outlets with a left-leaning audience, a large majority of Americans, regardless of their media diet, report hearing a lot about the passage of the economic stimulus bill in the news. Among outlets with a left-leaning audience, the assessment was a little more positive than negative (29% of stories vs. 19%), while 52% of stories were neither positive nor negative. What these comments have in common, is that Trumps style and manner cause him to hurt his image. Perhaps reflecting the enduring impact of this long-term age gap, voters ages 30 to 49 were also solidly in the Democratic candidates camp in 2020, favoring Biden by 12 points (55%-43%), similar to Clintons share among this age group. 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